Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Santa Fe are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cucuta are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
72.2%
Model confidence
14.0%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80