Santa Fé FCvs
Tupa
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 5/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tupa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Santa Fé FC are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Tupa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tupa hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Paulista Série B, while Tupa holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tupa
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
13.6%
Tupa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60