Serie CSerie C
Saturday, 4 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Santa Cruz

Santa Cruz

Home
10
Full time
Ituano

Ituano

Away
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Santa Cruz(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Santa Cruz
Win probability
Santa Cruz
40%
Draw
31%
Ituano
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Santa Cruz40%
Draw31%
Ituano30%

Santa Cruz leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Santa Cruz head into this in Serie C fixture in unknown form, while Ituano arrive in unknown form.

Santa Cruz have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Ituano have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Santa Cruz and Ituano in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Santa Cruz to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Santa Cruz 3980%, Draw 3060%, Ituano 2960%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Santa Cruz vs Ituano?

GoalVio's model predicts Santa Cruz to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz vs Ituano?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Santa Cruz vs Ituano?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Santa Cruz vs Ituano?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more