Serie CSerie C
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Santa Cruz

Santa Cruz

Home
W
01
Full time
Figueirense

Figueirense

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Santa Cruz(43%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Santa Cruz
43%
Draw
28%
Figueirense
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Santa Cruz
34
Figueirense
9
Defence
Santa Cruz
91
Figueirense
91
Momentum
Santa Cruz
100
Figueirense
33
Danger (xG)
Santa Cruz
0.90
Figueirense
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Santa Cruz)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Figueirense)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Santa Cruz)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Figueirense)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Santa CruzSanta Cruz
WWW
FigueirenseFigueirense
DDL

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Santa Cruz43%
Draw28%
Figueirense30%

Santa Cruz leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Santa Cruz head into this in Serie C fixture in mixed form (W), while Figueirense arrive in mixed form (D). Santa Cruz have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Figueirense over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Santa Cruz (91/100) and Figueirense (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Santa Cruz have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Figueirense have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Santa Cruz and Figueirense in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Santa Cruz to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Santa Cruz 4282%, Draw 2757%, Figueirense 2961%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Santa Cruz

Santa Cruz

W
vs Ituano
4 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Volta Redonda
16 May 2026
10
W
@ Inter De Limeira
12 May 2026
21
Figueirense

Figueirense

D
vs Volta Redonda
14 Jul 2026
00
D
vs Guarani Campinas
28 Jun 2026
11
L
vs AO Itabaiana
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Santa Cruz vs Figueirense?

GoalVio's model predicts Santa Cruz to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz vs Figueirense?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Santa Cruz vs Figueirense?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Santa Cruz vs Figueirense?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more