GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/8/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Cruz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa CruzDLDWD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Defensa Y JusticiaLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Santa CruzDefensa Y Justicia
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.47xG1.70
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