GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 4/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Cruz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Santa Cruz are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while AO Itabaiana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Cruz hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Serie C, while Santa Cruz holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Cruz

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Santa Cruz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa CruzDLDLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AO ItabaianaLWDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santa CruzAO Itabaiana
35.4Attack27.1
72.9Defence58.3
52.1Form35.4
55.9Power42.9
0.99xG0.39
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