GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/28/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Cruz FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Santa Cruz FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Turrialba Fc are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Turrialba Fc hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 22.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Cruz FC holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Cruz FC

Probability

67.4%

Model confidence

67.4%

Santa Cruz FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa Cruz FCLDLLD

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Turrialba FcLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Santa Cruz FCTurrialba Fc
0.0Attack28.1
0.0Defence10.4
0.0Form18.8
7.0Power22.4
2.37xG0.85
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