GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Cruz FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Cruz FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Upala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Upala hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Cruz FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Cruz FC

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Santa Cruz FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa Cruz FCLLLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo UpalaLLDDL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Santa Cruz FCDeportivo Upala
0.0Attack62.5
0.0Defence22.9
0.0Form31.3
7.0Power38.5
2.15xG1.98
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