GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/14/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Cruz FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa Cruz FCLLDWL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AD SarchíDWWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Santa Cruz FCAD Sarchí
0.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power80.3
1.24xG1.73
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