GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/6/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Cruz FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Cruz FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Cofutpa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Cofutpa hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Cruz FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Cruz FC

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Santa Cruz FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa Cruz FCWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AD CofutpaLLWDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santa Cruz FCAD Cofutpa
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
7.0Power23.7
1.50xG1.43
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