Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Home
W
30
Full time
Arouca

Arouca

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Arouca33%
Santa Clara33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score0-0
Win probability
Santa Clara
33%
Draw
33%
Arouca
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Santa Clara
99
Arouca
94
Defence
Santa Clara
91
Arouca
66
Momentum
Santa Clara
100
Arouca
100
Danger (xG)
Santa Clara
3.60
Arouca
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Santa Clara)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (Arouca)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Santa Clara)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Arouca)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Santa ClaraSanta Clara
WLW
AroucaArouca
WW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Santa Clara33%
Draw33%
Arouca33%

Arouca leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Santa Clara head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Arouca arrive in decent form (WW). Santa Clara have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Arouca over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Santa Clara (91/100) and Arouca (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Santa Clara have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Arouca have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Santa Clara and Arouca in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-0. Win probabilities: Santa Clara 3333%, Draw 3333%, Arouca 3334%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

W
vs Leça
15 Jul 2026
40
L
@ FC Porto
16 May 2026
01
W
vs Nacional
11 May 2026
20
Arouca

Arouca

W
vs Tondela
16 May 2026
31
W
@ GIL Vicente
11 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Santa Clara vs Arouca?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Arouca?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-0.

Will both teams score in Santa Clara vs Arouca?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Santa Clara vs Arouca?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more