Santa Clara U23vs
Sporting Braga U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Braga U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Clara U23 1-1 Sporting Braga U23
Original prediction
Sporting Braga U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.4% | 34.0% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 27.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.7% | 38.5% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Braga U23
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Sporting Braga U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80