Santa Clara U23vs
Felgueiras U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 9/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Clara U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Clara U23 2-2 Felgueiras U23
Original prediction
Santa Clara U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.9% | 44.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 27.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.2% | 27.9% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Santa Clara U23
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Santa Clara U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.25/1.50