Santa Clara U19vs
Alverca U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Clara U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Clara U19 1-1 Alverca U19
Original prediction
Santa Clara U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.7% | 60.0% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.2% | 21.5% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 5.24 | 17.2% | 18.5% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Santa Clara U19
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Santa Clara U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20