GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Catarina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Santa Catarina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jacuipense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.5% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Santa Catarina holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Catarina

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

16.5%

Santa Catarina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa CatarinaDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
JacuipenseDLDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santa CatarinaJacuipense
33.3Attack20.0
77.8Defence46.7
44.4Form33.3
53.1Power36.7
1.34xG0.69
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