GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/21/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Turrialba Fc are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 57.9-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 22.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

80.0%

Model confidence

80.0%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Turrialba FcLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Santa AnaTurrialba Fc
33.3Attack28.1
100.0Defence10.4
100.0Form18.8
80.3Power22.4
2.91xG0.63
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