GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/16/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Quepos Cambute are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaLWDWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Quepos CambuteWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santa AnaQuepos Cambute
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
80.3Power57.3
1.55xG1.26
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