GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 1/16/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Limón Black Star are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Limón Black StarDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santa AnaLimón Black Star
33.3Attack53.9
100.0Defence64.7
100.0Form57.8
80.3Power59.1
1.17xG1.30
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