GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/10/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Limón Black Star are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaDDDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Limón Black StarWDDWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Santa AnaLimón Black Star
33.3Attack53.9
100.0Defence64.7
100.0Form57.8
80.3Power59.1
1.17xG1.30
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