GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/5/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guadalupe FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaDLWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Guadalupe FCLWLWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Santa AnaGuadalupe FC
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form66.7
80.3Power64.8
1.62xG1.30
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