GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/28/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Futbol Consultants Moravia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Futbol Consultants MoraviaLLDWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Santa AnaFutbol Consultants Moravia
33.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
1.82xG1.07
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