GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/30/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaDWLWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénDWWWD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santa AnaEscorpiones Belén
33.3Attack76.7
100.0Defence42.5
100.0Form58.3
80.3Power58.9
1.91xG1.85
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