GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 12/2/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaWWWWD

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Escorpiones BelénLLWLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Santa AnaEscorpiones Belén
33.3Attack76.7
100.0Defence42.5
100.0Form58.3
80.3Power58.9
1.91xG1.85
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