GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/6/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaDDLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénWWWLW

GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Santa AnaEscorpiones Belén
33.3Attack76.7
100.0Defence42.5
100.0Form58.3
80.3Power58.9
1.91xG1.85
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