GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/2/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CS UruguayWWWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Santa AnaCS Uruguay
33.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
80.3Power36.5
1.74xG1.06
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