GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/7/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaWWWDD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CS UruguayLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Santa AnaCS Uruguay
33.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
80.3Power36.5
1.74xG1.06
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