GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/26/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaDLDDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Cariari PocociWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Santa AnaCariari Pococi
33.3Attack16.7
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form66.7
80.3Power64.8
1.47xG1.10
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