Santa AnavsCariari Pococi

Santa Ana are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.