Santa AnavsCariari Pococi

Santa Ana are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WDLL), averaging 2.25 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.