Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Santa Ana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Antioquia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 36.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Ana
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00