Santa AnavsAD Carmelita

Santa Ana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.