Santa AnavsAD Carmelita

Santa Ana are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.