Sant Andreuvs
Real Madrid II
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sant Andreu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sant Andreu 1-1 Real Madrid II
Original prediction
Sant Andreu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.1% | 36.8% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.4% | 30.2% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.4% | 33.0% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Sant Andreu
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Sant Andreu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80