Sant Andreuvs
Juventud Torremolinos
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sant Andreu · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sant Andreu 2-2 Juventud Torremolinos
Original prediction
Sant Andreu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.7% | 57.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.4% | 23.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.82 | 18.9% | 19.4% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Sant Andreu
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Sant Andreu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80