Sanremesevs
Sestri Levante
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone A · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sanremese · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sanremese 1-0 Sestri Levante
Original prediction
Sanremese
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.0% | 40.7% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.5% | 28.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 24.6% | 31.0% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sanremese
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Sanremese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80