Sanluqueñovs
Tamaraceite
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sanluqueño · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sanluqueño 1-0 Tamaraceite
Original prediction
Sanluqueño
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 50.9% | 40.6% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.0% | 29.6% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 21.2% | 29.7% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Sanluqueño
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Sanluqueño has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33