Sanluqueñovs
Recreativo Huelva
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Recreativo Huelva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sanluqueño 3-3 Recreativo Huelva
Original prediction
Recreativo Huelva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.57 | 25.2% | 26.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.3% | 27.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.5% | 46.2% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Recreativo Huelva
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Recreativo Huelva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60