Sanluqueñovs
Mijas Las Lagunas
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sanluqueño · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sanluqueño 2-2 Mijas Las Lagunas
Original prediction
Sanluqueño
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.7% | 36.8% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 29.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.2% | 34.1% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Sanluqueño
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Sanluqueño has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60