Sanluqueñovs
Las Palmas II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sanluqueño · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sanluqueño 4-1 Las Palmas II
Original prediction
Sanluqueño
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.5% | 52.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.7% | 25.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.9% | 21.6% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Sanluqueño
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Sanluqueño has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40