GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/8/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Yokohama FC are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the J-League Cup, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sanfrecce HiroshimaDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Yokohama FCLDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Sanfrecce HiroshimaYokohama FC
66.7Attack38.9
61.1Defence44.4
50.0Form33.3
57.6Power41.2
2.14xG0.97
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