Sanfrecce Hiroshimavs
Shimizu S-pulse
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Shimizu S-pulse, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-0 Shimizu S-pulse
Original prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 67.4% | 79.1% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.76 | 19.7% | 14.2% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 7.22 | 13.0% | 6.7% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Projected Score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shimizu S-pulse
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Probability
79.1%
Model confidence
79.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20