Sanfrecce HiroshimavsNagoya Grampus

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nagoya Grampus are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nagoya Grampus hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 62.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the J-League Cup, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.