GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/14/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gamba Osaka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 31.0-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sanfrecce HiroshimaWLLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gamba OsakaWWDDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Sanfrecce HiroshimaGamba Osaka
100.0Attack83.3
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form66.7
95.8Power64.8
1.96xG1.18
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