Sanfrecce Hiroshimavs
Fagiano Okayama
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 2/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 42.8-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00