Sanfrecce HiroshimavsCerezo Osaka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.