GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Avispa Fukuoka are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sanfrecce HiroshimaLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Avispa FukuokaDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sanfrecce HiroshimaAvispa Fukuoka
100.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form50.0
95.8Power59.3
1.69xG1.03
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