Åsane IIvs
Sogndal II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 3 · 8/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Åsane II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Åsane II 4-3 Sogndal II
Original prediction
Åsane II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.3% | 45.2% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.54 | 19.9% | 24.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 4.55 | 19.8% | 30.5% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Åsane II
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Åsane II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40