Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Åsane II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Åsane II 1-2 Brann II
Original prediction
Åsane II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.8% | 50.3% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.2% | 21.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.0% | 27.8% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Åsane II
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Åsane II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Åsane IIDWDLW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Brann IIDDLLL
GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Åsane IIBrann II
100.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence0.0
66.7Form16.7
60.7Power18.0
3.44xG1.85