GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · 10/15/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sandvikens AIK are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Karlberg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 72.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karlberg

Probability

64.3%

Model confidence

64.3%

Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sandvikens AIKWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KarlbergWDWDW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Sandvikens AIKKarlberg
50.0Attack76.9
48.7Defence67.9
46.2Form75.6
48.7Power72.6
0.98xG2.38
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