GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · 4/23/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arlanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Sandvikens AIK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arlanda are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arlanda hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Arlanda holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arlanda

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Arlanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sandvikens AIKWDLLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ArlandaWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.67/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Sandvikens AIKArlanda
50.0Attack74.4
48.7Defence46.2
46.2Form62.8
48.7Power61.0
1.71xG2.23
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